| January 1, 2000 - 2000 and Beyond |
The New Millenium is finally here!
What impact did the Y2K computer glitch have on life where you are? Did you or people you know
stockpile food and water? Was it needed?
Did organizations prepare their computers adequately or are your lights still out? Did companies
stockpile inventories anticipating disruptions in communications and transportation? Did your
government pull people out of foreign embassies the way the United States did with personnel in
Russia?
Even if there were no direct outcomes of Y2K there was an indirect cost. For example, fixing the
Y2K bug in the United States was estimated to cost $365 for each person.
Assuming that you survived the new age and your computer still works and your Internet access
provider is still functioning, letŐs consider the meaning of the next 100 years for the future of
organizations.
Predictions for the New Millenium
20th Century management guru Peter Drucker thinks that in the 21st Century organizations as we know
them will disappear. Drucker also thinks that the Internet and World Wide Web will not play as large
a role in the 21st Century as many people predict. In his view, fish farming will prove to be the
revolutionary idea for the 21st Century. Could he be right? Should you drop your current career
plans and take out your fishing poles?
Web Exercise
To start, revisit the March 1, 1999 Monthly Web Update and take a look at the Web sites for Y2K in
the various countries listed there. How do they assess the effort to cope with Y2K problems in their
countries? Do they mention any secondary outcomes of the Y2K effort, for example, more extensive
upgrading of technology than would have otherwise occurred?
More to the point, does the fact of the new millenium matter to organizations? If it does, what
changes do you think will occur in the next five, ten or fifteen years in organizations? Or, if in
your opinion, organizations remain basically the same as they are today, what will prevent them from
changing?
An interesting Web Site is www.blowntobits.com that presents an overview of a new book that
discusses the implications of the new economy and e-commerce for organizations. Another Web Site that
discusses the future of organizations is http://ccs.mit.edu/21c
Based on information from these and other Web sites and your predictions, should you consider
making changes to your career plans? Would it be wise to start a fish farm in you bathtub or would it
be better to get as virtual as you can as soon as possible?
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