In The News #8 >>

>> TITLE

Fed Tries to Calm Markets

Lead Story-Dateline:
Ip, Greg
“Fed Faces Challenge in Its Message”
The Wall Street Journal, Tuesday August 12, 2003, p. A2

>> SUMMARY

For most of the past 50 years the Fed has indicated inflation was “too” high. Now, with inflation hovering at around 1%, the Fed views the economic situation as uncharted territory. However, Fed policy makers have failed to convince the market of that fact. The financial markets expect business as usual and interpreted the Fed’s recent unwillingness to take additional drastic action to stimulate the economy as a sign that interest rates might be going up soon and the bond market erupted in turmoil.

Investors pushed bond yields higher in anticipation of a rate increase while the Fed struggled to draft an economic outlook statement designed to reflect its assessment of the inflation risk and the prospects of economic growth. Knowing the power of Fed comments, the statement has undergone multiple revisions and is still a “work in progress.” The Fed’s challenge is to convince the financial markets that its history of being aggressively proactive in fighting inflation will not interfere with the fledgling economic recovery.

>> Talking it Over and Thinking it Through

  1. What is the primary tool of the Federal Reserve?
  2. What is the Fed funds rate?
  3. If the Fed lowers the target for the Fed funds rate, how does it accomplish lowering this rate?
  4. How does the Fed use interest rates to combat inflation?

>> Thinking About the Future

The Federal Reserve’s primary function is to conduct monetary policy for the United States. In that role, the central bank tries to achieve an acceptable level of economic growth while maintaining price level stability. The Fed’s current challenge is to stimulate a flagging economy without stimulating inflation. In times past, the Fed has been criticized as increasing interest rates too quickly and putting a damper on economic growth. However, this recovery appears different from recent recoveries in that output is increasing while unemployment is lingering longer. It will be interesting to see when the Fed raises rates, indicating the economy is truly back on track.


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